Curbed Enthusiasm. . .

(Curbed Enthusiasm. . .)

Giddy optimism can be dangerous when one's expectations fail to materialize. If any so-called Republican "surge" had been evidenced over the las few days, has largely dissipated. Power rankings still have races in question as lean Democrat. There was a relatively good jobs report released this morning. All the momentum that had been assigned to the GOP now seems shifting to the Democrats. Races that have been classified as too close to call would still favor incumbency and the incumbents in these cases are Democrats.

If the Republican Party had a peak in this cycle, it has passed. Too early as the phrase. Were there surges ? Sure. But numbers ebb and flow from poll to poll and the latest seen to indicate that Democrats have come home and seem set to make a more pronounced presence. That should secure Fetterman in Pennsylvania. That should secure Warnock in Goergia. This re-alignment can also be seen in Arizona to the benefit of Senator Mark Kelly and Arizona Gubernatorial Katie Hobbs.

Are the warnings from former President Obama and company that have been crisscrossing the country, warning about so-called "MAGA Republicans, warning that there could be spells of political violence as well as heated rhetoric if it looks as if the GOP will really prosper. Democrats are already convinced that there is voter suppression in Georgia and Texas.

There is no reason for Democrats to not not be more engaged. It is their agenda at stake and if that green socialist program really means as much to them as they have been saying, if the high price of gas and groceries, if inflation had all been a forced re-configuration of American society, with or without the consent of the broader population, then there is every reason to believe that Democrats, in numbers at least as great as any Republicans could muster.

So, when next Tuesday comes and goes, and it happens that Republicans do control the House but fell short in the Senate ? As the more important of the two Chambers, any change in Senate rules will negate Republican control of the House. That has meant from the beginning the elimination of the filibuster. That means the ability to pack the Supreme Court. That means two new states with four new reliably Democrats. It has always been a question of who has the most to lose and in this instance, that would be Democrats.