Cost-Benfit Analysis

(Cost-Benefit Analysis)

One must remember that, of all things, Donald Trump has always been a businessman. He had been a real estate mogul with his name on casinos, hotels, golf courses, and residential towers. Because of name recognition, NBC put the developer with his own reality TV show called The Apprentice that ran for 15 seasons. It had been a highly successful program. Then Donald Trump ran for President, which no one took seriously, but he won. Then came the pandemic, the 2020 Election, and with the various rule changes and voting gimmicks, Big Media, Big Money, and Big Tech were able to elevate Vice President Biden, who apparently was clueless at Maui when he visited briefly, to the White House.


But Donald Trump wants another shot. Millions of his supporters would give it to him. His immediate question, however, is whether he should participate in tomorrow's Republican Debate ? In other words, what is the cost-benefit for Trump to actually make an appearance in Milwaukee on Wednesday or stay distant. It has been suggested in these Pages that an appetence could be beneficial as his ultimate audience in the General Election will be beyond whatever support he might have with the core GOP. If he wants to broaden his support, and re-acquire all that left him two years ago, a higher profile could be useful.


However, all things being equal, the story of the week will not be what Republican said this or that, what candidate stood out and who had a so-called "good night," because, the day after, former President Trump will be arrested in Atlanta and this time he will be photographed. A mug shot. Bail will be set unless the district attorney asks Trump be remanded. Then watch all hell break loose.


There would be some benefit of a Trump show tomorrow. However, at this stage of the race, such Trump's participation is not really necessary. And, with a debate Wednesday and his arrest Thursday, the week will have become redundant for Trump and there will be certain people, those on the fringe of consideration, if they do knock one out of the park so to speak, those campaigns will begin to dry up and wither. What tomorrow will do more than anything would be to winnow the field. Donald Trump, for his part, can wait. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Siege Of The Alamo

(Siege Of The Alamo) Any visitor to Downtown San Antonio will recognize the City's most famous landmark, the Alamo. An old Spanish mission that means "Cottonwood" in English was the site where the likes of Jim Bowie, William Barrett Travis and Davy Crockett and about another 185 Texians defended the Mission and its compound for thirteen days against the Army of General Antonio Lopez de Santa Ana and his 5,000 troops. The garrison was finally reduced on March 6, 1836. However, the Texian defeat at the Alamo and another one at Goliad, bought time for General Sam Houston time to fall back and then face Santa Ana at San Jacinto. There, Houston's army surprised the Mexicans and yelling "Remember the Alamo, Remember Goliad !" all but wiped out the Mexican force. Santa Ana was captured and was forced to recognize the Republic of Texas. Which is now the State of Texas and, like 1836 Texas War of Independence, there is a new invasion from Mexico. Not the armed body o
Read more

TEQUILA !

(TEQUILA !) Happy Cinco de Mayo or May 5th. One can hope that a lot of you out there are awash in inebriation, seeking to mainline tequila shots or enjoying a nice margarita on the patio. Or, in other words, relax. Take a breath. De-compress. May 5th as it happens is the anniversary of Mexico's victory over French "occupation" of Mexico by Emperor Maximillian, brother to Austrian monarch Maria Theresa in what has been called the Battle of Puebla. The reason France was in Mexico in the first place was that Mexico, after the Mexican-American War and a more civil conflict called the Reform War, had bankrupted Mexico City. Mexican President at the time was Benito Juarez, who repudiated all foreign debt, of which France, Spain, and the United Kingdom were all major holders. A naval expedition was dispatched to Veracruz and France's Napoleon III thought it would be a good idea to establish a French "empire" in Mexico. But, on May 5th, 1862, in the aforementioned B
Read more

Intended Consequences

(Intended Consequences) For those Readers who live in the Tri-State area, who had the earthquake this morning, just be still.  There is a postulate called the Law of Un-Intended Consequences. Basically, it says that even with the best intentions, negative results sometimes happen. However, there are also instances when a negative result is precisely the desired outcome. Like with the Israel- Hamas war where the Biden Administration continues to press for an all but unilateral ceasefire on the part of Israel. In California, the new $20/HR minimum wage is wreaking havoc on the fast food industry. And finally, after depleting the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, oil has now become too expensive. How many times must the Biden Administration think it can influence Israeli affairs ? How many times must Israel ignore it. Threats from the President have become redundant at this point but is Biden really prepared to cut Israel loose ? In the middle of the greatest crisis Israel is facing since the
Read more