Corrrleation Of Forces. . .

(Correlation Of Forces. . .)

Since the Russo-Ukraine War began almost three years ago, some Russian 600,000 casualties have been incurred. That is greater than any Soviet/Russian conflict, including Afghanistan, since the end of the Second World War. In what was supposed to be a few day affair back in 2021 has lasted this long with no strategic decision for with side. Ukrainian President Zelenski has a five-step plan for a terminal offensive. However, correlation of forces still favors Russia.


Zelenski had presented the Biden Administration what he has been calling his "Victory Plan." Oo paper it might look like dynamite. But Russia maintains the advantage in virtually every category. Ukraine is deficient in personnel, weapons, communications, air power and so on. That being said, Zelenski has no plan to define what "victory" in the Victory Plan would actually mean. There is no defined use of assets that could alter situations on the ground that could in-connivence the Russians to any great degree.


Zelenski is making assumptions about those facts on the ground that have not been manifest. Russians have re-occupied certain positions and could re-take the entire Don basin and, as this has become a war of attrition, each time Ukraine takes a step forward, Russia forces two steps back.


Of course, fire-power would be a problem. Asset shortcomings were a fact of life from Day One. And Russia would have a larger army. In times past, Russia, by virtue of its size and population, had been known as the "Russian Steamroller." At the moment, the total size of the Russian Armed Fores is over 2 million with one and a half million on active duty.


Finally, the Russian economy is much larger than that of the Ukraine. As Vice President Harris once commented on the Russo-Ukraine conflict, hers was a succinct: "Russia is a big country that invaded a small country." Brilliant ! Maybe she should run for President. 


From the outset, Ukraine could not hope to win over Russia. She could bleed Moscow and has to tune of 600,000+ casualties. One way or another, the war is coming to an end, with or without any Victory Plan.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

TEQUILA !

(TEQUILA !) Happy Cinco de Mayo or May 5th. One can hope that a lot of you out there are awash in inebriation, seeking to mainline tequila shots or enjoying a nice margarita on the patio. Or, in other words, relax. Take a breath. De-compress. May 5th as it happens is the anniversary of Mexico's victory over French "occupation" of Mexico by Emperor Maximillian, brother to Austrian monarch Maria Theresa in what has been called the Battle of Puebla. The reason France was in Mexico in the first place was that Mexico, after the Mexican-American War and a more civil conflict called the Reform War, had bankrupted Mexico City. Mexican President at the time was Benito Juarez, who repudiated all foreign debt, of which France, Spain, and the United Kingdom were all major holders. A naval expedition was dispatched to Veracruz and France's Napoleon III thought it would be a good idea to establish a French "empire" in Mexico. But, on May 5th, 1862, in the aforementioned B
Read more

Siege Of The Alamo

(Siege Of The Alamo) Any visitor to Downtown San Antonio will recognize the City's most famous landmark, the Alamo. An old Spanish mission that means "Cottonwood" in English was the site where the likes of Jim Bowie, William Barrett Travis and Davy Crockett and about another 185 Texians defended the Mission and its compound for thirteen days against the Army of General Antonio Lopez de Santa Ana and his 5,000 troops. The garrison was finally reduced on March 6, 1836. However, the Texian defeat at the Alamo and another one at Goliad, bought time for General Sam Houston time to fall back and then face Santa Ana at San Jacinto. There, Houston's army surprised the Mexicans and yelling "Remember the Alamo, Remember Goliad !" all but wiped out the Mexican force. Santa Ana was captured and was forced to recognize the Republic of Texas. Which is now the State of Texas and, like 1836 Texas War of Independence, there is a new invasion from Mexico. Not the armed body o
Read more

Everything, Everywhere, All At Once

(Everything, Everywhere, All At Once) This was a film that had been honored at the last Academy Awards. No, it has not been viewed and Best Actor used to be "Encino Man." That being said, the aforementioned title capsulates nicely all that crap that is going on in the world all at the same time . The banking crisis, the new Sino-Russian Alliance, the President's recent veto, the border crisis beyond critical mass, And former President Trump is still set to be indicted, if not today than probably in the near future and Christ knows what else. With everything that is going down, however, the Biden Administration is singularly ill-equipped to deal with things. Take the banking crisis. One is familiar with all the financial services that get advertised on business shows and the viewer gets admonished that there is risk with any investment. That has traditionally been the case. Then Silicon Valley et al went under. As has been previously discussed, the bank was heavily invest
Read more